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Table 4From “What is AI demand forecasting? A forecast is a system, not an oracle”

What evidence should a sales forecast carry?

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Table 4What evidence should a sales forecast carry?

Evidence fieldReview questionWhy it stays visible
Target and unitWhat outcome is forecast, and at which grain?A revenue forecast is not an opportunity-count forecast
Population and exclusionsWhich records or units enter the forecast?A changed population can look like a changed model
Cutoff and horizonWhat information was available, and when does the period close?Hindsight and unlike windows do not enter silently
Baseline and interventionWhat model or human change produced the final value?A final number without its baseline cannot be audited
Later actualWhich reconciled observation evaluates the forecast?An open status is not an outcome
Decision and dispositionWhat action followed, and who accepted the evidence?Evaluation remains separate from execution

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Source: Table from this essay. Sources and interpretation are given in the article.

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APA 7

Isoglu, S. (2026). What evidence should a sales forecast carry? [Table]. isoglu.com. https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-what-is-ai-demand-forecasting-fig04/

BibTeX
@misc{isoglu-2026-what-is-ai-demand-forecasting-fig04,
  author = {Isoglu, Sinan},
  title = {{What evidence should a sales forecast carry?}},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Table 4, isoglu.com},
  url = {https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-what-is-ai-demand-forecasting-fig04/},
  note = {From the essay {What is AI demand forecasting? A forecast is a system, not an oracle}}
}
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  <a href="https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-what-is-ai-demand-forecasting-fig04/">
    <img src="https://isoglu.com/social/isoglu-2026-what-is-ai-demand-forecasting-fig04.png" alt="Table 4: What evidence should a sales forecast carry?" width="3200" height="2400">
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  <figcaption>Table 4: What evidence should a sales forecast carry?. Source: Table from this essay. Sources and interpretation are given in the article. <a href="https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-what-is-ai-demand-forecasting-fig04/">View exhibit</a>.</figcaption>
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