The AI forecast control map
Automation can produce a number; a governed forecast also declares the target, cutoff, version, override, owner, and later evaluation.
Reference & Evidence
Source: Author's schematic comparison grounded in Shrestha, Ben-Menahem and von Krogh (2019) and Raisch and Krakowski (2021). Values are coded control-field presence, not model performance, accuracy, or commercial results.
Each line is a claim from the register this journal publishes against, resolved from the register at build time.
- A The five, named: "five key contingency factors specificity of the decision search space interpretability of the decisionmaking process and outcome size of the alternative set decision making speed and replicability" Shrestha, Ben-Menahem & von Krogh. (2019) ·
SBK19-C1 - A The factors are a comparison frame, not a ranking: the article "identifies the idiosyncrasies of human and ai based decision making along five key contingency factors", so different combinations imply different splits of the work Shrestha, Ben-Menahem & von Krogh. (2019) ·
SBK19-C2 - A The two concepts, defined: "whereas automation implies that machines take over a human task, augmentation means that humans collaborate closely with machines to perform a task" Raisch & Krakowski. (2021) ·
RAI21-C1 - A "if organizations adopt a broader perspective comprising both automation and augmentation they could deal with the tension and achieve comp"lementarities. A conceptual paper in AMR, so this is argued, not measured Raisch & Krakowski. (2021) ·
RAI21-C3 - B AI demand forecasting is a forecast process in which a model uses declared data and horizon to produce a demand estimate for a named unit Author framework grounded in SBK19-C1 and RAI21-C1 ·
V11-OWN-C1 - B A demand-forecasting record should preserve baseline model, input snapshot, horizon, output, confidence or interval, override, reason, and later actual Author operating framework ·
V11-OWN-C2 - B Automation, augmentation, human judgment, forecast output, and realized demand are separate objects Author taxonomy grounded in RAI21-C3 ·
V11-OWN-C3 - B AI forecast quality must be compared against a declared baseline, loss function, segment, maturity window, and data cutoff Author evaluation framework ·
V11-OWN-C4
Grades: A, verified against the printed page of the primary source · B, primary source, text layer only · C, authoritative secondary · D, reported.
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