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Table Table 3 Growth that compounds

Three-Year Multi-Cohort Financial Projection

Metric dimensionYear 1: Atlas CloudYear 1: Beacon SystemsYear 2: Atlas CloudYear 2: Beacon SystemsYear 3: Atlas CloudYear 3: Beacon Systems
Starting ARR\$20,000,000\$20,000,000\$27,620,000\$24,630,000\$36,368,000\$29,663,000
Gross Churn Loss(\$800,000)(\$2,400,000)(\$1,105,000)(\$2,956,000)(\$1,455,000)(\$3,560,000)
Contraction Loss(\$400,000)(\$1,400,000)(\$552,000)(\$1,724,000)(\$727,000)(\$2,076,000)
Preserved Base ARR\$18,800,000\$16,200,000\$25,963,000\$19,950,000\$34,186,000\$24,027,000
Gross Revenue Retention (GRR)94.0%81.0%94.0%81.0%94.0%81.0%
Expansion Revenue (15%)\$2,820,000\$2,430,000\$3,894,000\$2,993,000\$5,128,000\$3,604,000
Net Revenue Retention (NRR)108.1%93.2%108.1%93.2%108.1%93.2%
Net-New Bookings\$6,000,000\$6,000,000\$6,500,000\$6,500,000\$7,000,000\$7,000,000
Ending ARR\$27,620,000\$24,630,000\$36,368,000\$29,663,000\$46,314,000\$34,631,000

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Reference & Evidence

Source: Table from this essay. Sources and interpretation are given in the article.