Table 1From “Forecast accuracy can hide offsetting errors”
What does sales forecasting mean before accuracy is summarized?
Table 1What does sales forecasting mean before accuracy is summarized?
| Field | Question before the score | What remains separate |
|---|---|---|
| Forecast object | What is being estimated, at which grain? | Pipeline inventory and expected outcome |
| Information cutoff | Which information was available when the forecast was issued? | Later explanations and hindsight |
| Horizon | Which period or event closes the forecast? | A different sales-cycle or reporting window |
| Actual outcome | Which later observation will be compared with the forecast? | A proxy or an open status |
| Decision | What action should the forecast inform? | Generic accuracy without a use |
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Source: Table from this essay. Sources and interpretation are given in the article.

From the essay
Revenue operations & AI
Forecast accuracy can hide offsetting errors
A forecast can be unbiased on average while missing every period: keep signed error, absolute error, distribution, horizon, and decision cost separate.
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