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Figure 2From “Pipeline coverage hides a conversion distribution”

The denominator sensitivity of sales velocity

Declare the cycle length beside the velocity ratio. A denominator change can move the ratio without proving that the sales process changed.

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Figure 2The denominator sensitivity of sales velocity

A line chart of a synthetic sales-velocity sensitivity model. With 10 opportunities, 0.20 win probability, and 100 units of deal value held constant, the derived expected value per day is 3.33 at 60 days, 2.22 at 90 days, 1.67 at 120 days, 1.33 at 150 days, and 1.11 at 180 days. These are model outputs, not company data or a benchmark.0/day1/day2/day3/day4/day1.11/day60 days90 days120 days150 days180 daysDeclared cycle length

Source: Author's transparent sensitivity model. Opportunities = 10, win probability = 0.20, and deal value = 100 units are held constant while declared cycle length varies. Derived outputs are illustrative, not company data or a benchmark.

PNG4:3, 1600 × 1200, with the title, the source line and the attribution set in the image isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02.png

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APA 7

Isoglu, S. (2026). The denominator sensitivity of sales velocity [Figure]. isoglu.com. https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02/

BibTeX
@misc{isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02,
  author = {Isoglu, Sinan},
  title = {{The denominator sensitivity of sales velocity}},
  year = {2026},
  howpublished = {Figure 2, isoglu.com},
  url = {https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02/},
  note = {From the essay {Pipeline coverage hides a conversion distribution}}
}
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<figure>
  <a href="https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02/">
    <img src="https://isoglu.com/social/isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02.png" alt="Figure 2: The denominator sensitivity of sales velocity" width="3200" height="2400">
  </a>
  <figcaption>Figure 2: The denominator sensitivity of sales velocity. Source: Author&#39;s transparent sensitivity model. Opportunities = 10, win probability = 0.20, and deal value = 100 units are held constant while declared cycle length varies. Derived outputs are illustrative, not company data or a benchmark. <a href="https://isoglu.com/insights/exhibits/isoglu-2026-pipeline-coverage-hides-conversion-distribution-fig02/">View exhibit</a>.</figcaption>
</figure>